Nacional 2-1 Plaza Colonia - Uruguayan Primera Division - October 3, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Oct 3, 2021 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Gran Parque Central

Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
46.79%	27.88%	25.32%

Both teams to score 44.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02%

60.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02%

80.97%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84%

26.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77%

61.22%

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62%

40.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01%

76.98%

Score Analysis

Nacional 46.78%

Plaza Colonia 25.32%

Draw 27.87%

Nacional	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 14.15% 2-0 @ 9.5% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.96% Total : 46.78%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.91% Other @ 0.57% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 9.58% 1-2 @ 5.83% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.32% Total : 25.32%

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
Group 1
1	Boston River Boston River	4	3	0	1	7	3	4	9
2	Defensor Sporting Defensor	4	2	2	0	7	2	5	8
3	Danubio Danubio	4	2	1	1	4	2	2	7
4	Montevideo Wanderers Wanderers	4	1	2	1	5	3	2	5
5	Penarol Penarol	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1	4
6	Montevideo City Torque Torque	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4
7	River Plate River Plate	4	1	1	2	4	7	-3	4
8	La Luz	4	1	0	3	3	11	-8	3
Group 2
1	Liverpool Liverpool	4	4	0	0	12	5	7	12
2	Fenix Fenix	4	1	3	0	5	2	3	6
3	Racing de Montevideo Racing	4	2	0	2	8	8	0	6
4	Cerro Cerro	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
5	Nacional Nacional	3	1	1	1	5	4	1	4
6	Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia	3	0	2	1	5	8	-3	2
7	Cerro Largo	4	0	2	2	4	7	-3	2
8	Deportivo Maldonado Maldonado	4	0	2	2	3	8	-5	2

Apertura
1	Penarol Penarol	15	10	4	1	25	11	14	34
2	Nacional Nacional	15	8	5	2	28	11	17	29
3	Defensor Sporting Defensor	15	6	7	2	27	14	13	25
4	Cerro Largo	15	6	7	2	13	10	3	25
5	Montevideo Wanderers Wanderers	15	6	5	4	16	12	4	23
6	Liverpool Liverpool	15	6	5	4	24	19	5	20
7	River Plate River Plate	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2	20
8	Deportivo Maldonado Maldonado	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5	20
9	La Luz	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4	18
10	Cerro Cerro	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3	16
11	Montevideo City Torque Torque	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9	16
12	Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10	16
13	Danubio Danubio	15	3	6	6	20	19	1	15
14	Racing de Montevideo Racing	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4	15
15	Boston River Boston River	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8	15
16	Fenix Fenix	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12	12