Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (7.92%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
