Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro would win this match.
