SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
56.92% ( -0.08) | 21.17% ( 0.04) | 21.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.89% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.13) | 36.98% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.83% ( -0.14) | 59.16% ( 0.14) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.07) | 12.9% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.69% ( -0.14) | 39.31% ( 0.13) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -0.04) | 30.1% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.76% ( -0.05) | 66.24% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 56.92% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 21.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 39 | 43 | 74 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 33 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 74 | -55 | 23 |
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