SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 0-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
22.73% ( 0.22) | 20.64% ( 0.14) | 56.63% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 64.09% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.4) | 33.31% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.92% ( -0.46) | 55.08% ( 0.46) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0.05) | 27.33% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.21% ( -0.06) | 62.78% ( 0.07) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.2% ( -0.23) | 11.8% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.99% ( -0.49) | 37.01% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.68% Total : 22.73% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.64% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 70 |
| 2 | BesiktasBesiktas | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 68 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 62 | 33 | 29 | 57 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | KayserisporKayserispor | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 48 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 55 | 8 | 41 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 58 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 27 |
| 17 | GaziantepGaziantep | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 25 |
| 18 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 23 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 65 | -46 | 23 |
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