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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Dec 19, 2021 at 4pm UK
Sukru Saracoglu Stadium
B
Fenerbahce
2 - 2
Besiktas
Ozil (14' pen.), Berisha (30')
Szalai (74'), Aziz (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Souza (25', 59')
Bozdogan (43'), Yilmaz (69'), Batshuayi (78'), Ozyakup (88'), Ghezzal (90+1')

We said: Fenerbahce 3-2 Besiktas

With the ball hitting the back of the net at least twice in each of the last 11 meetings between Fenerbahce and Besiktas, goals are to be expected once again on Sunday. Both sides will be keen to turn their fortunes around domestically, though we can see the hosts edging out their city rivals in an entertaining contest at the Estadio Sukru Saracoglu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
62.78%20.16%17.06%
Both teams to score 55.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25%39.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89%62.1%
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9%12.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35%37.64%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39%36.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6%73.4%
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 62.78%
    Besiktas 17.06%
    Draw 20.16%
FenerbahceDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.35%
3-1 @ 6.99%
3-0 @ 6.96%
4-1 @ 3.69%
4-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.51%
4-2 @ 1.86%
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.78%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.99%
0-0 @ 4.43%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.72%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.67%
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 17.06%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1513113192240
2Fenerbahce14121137102737
3BesiktasBesiktas148242116526
4Adana Demirspor156542719823
5TrabzonsporTrabzonspor147252418623
6AntalyasporAntalyaspor156542217523
7KayserisporKayserispor147521914523
8KasimpasaKasimpasa146352527-221
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor146351419-521
10Hatayspor144642421318
11Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk154561814417
12AnkaragucuAnkaragucu144552020017
13SivassporSivasspor143651724-715
14GaziantepGaziantep145091422-815
15KonyasporKonyaspor143561520-514
16Pendikspor143471631-1513
17Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul143381420-612
18Samsunspor143291323-1011
19AlanyasporAlanyaspor142571123-1211
20Istanbulspor1422101126-158
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