Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
