SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudtirol | Draw | Bari |
| 31.82% | 29.52% | 38.66% |
| Both teams to score 43.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.15% | 63.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.92% | 83.08% |
| Sudtirol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.33% | 36.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.55% | 73.45% |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% | 32.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.48% | 68.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudtirol | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 6.73% 2-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.87% Total : 31.82% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.51% | 0-1 @ 13.37% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.82% Total : 38.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| P | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| R | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| R | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| R | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| R | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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