SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bari in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Reggina |
53.18% ( 5.88) | 24.89% ( -0.87) | 21.92% ( -5.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -2.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.73) | 53.07% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( -0.62) | 74.65% ( 0.62) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.07% ( 2.2) | 19.92% ( -2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.93% ( 3.43) | 52.07% ( -3.42) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( -4.89) | 39.13% ( 4.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.15% ( -4.9) | 75.84% ( 4.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Reggina |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 1.15) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 1.52)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.28)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 1.12)3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.57)4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 53.17% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.48)Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -1.03)0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.92)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.48)Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| P | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| R | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| R | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| R | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| R | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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