SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Cittadella |
44.98% ( 0.18) | 27.09% ( 0.02) | 27.93% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% ( -0.15) | 56.83% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( -0.12) | 77.76% ( 0.12) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.02) | 25.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.1% ( 0.03) | 59.89% ( -0.03) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.24) | 35.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.37% ( -0.25) | 72.63% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bari | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| P | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| R | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| R | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| R | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| R | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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