SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
31.11% ( -0.02) | 28.33% ( 0.13) | 40.56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.45) | 60.07% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.71% ( -0.34) | 80.29% ( 0.35) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.26) | 35.15% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.1% ( -0.27) | 71.9% ( 0.27) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( -0.28) | 29.03% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.06% ( -0.35) | 64.94% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.12% Total : 31.11% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Genoa | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | BariBari | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 36 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 57 |
| 5 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 54 |
| 6 | Parma | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Palermo | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Pisa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 46 |
| 9 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 46 |
| 11 | RegginaReggina | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 45 |
| 12 | Modena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 | Como | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Ternana | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Cittadella | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 39 |
| 17 | Brescia | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 38 |
| 18 | Perugia | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 36 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 35 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 32 |
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