Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
45.14% ( 0.96) | 28.02% ( -0.09) | 26.83% ( -0.88) |
Both teams to score 44.74% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.36% ( -0.13) | 60.63% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.28% ( -0.1) | 80.72% ( 0.1) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( 0.44) | 26.83% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( 0.57) | 62.12% ( -0.58) |
Sudtirol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.15% ( -0.81) | 38.85% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.42% ( -0.78) | 75.58% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Bari | Draw | Sudtirol |
1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.14% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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