Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Lazio
27.83% ( -0.03)	27.02% ( 0)	45.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.14% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.38% (

-0.02)

56.62% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

-0.02)

77.59% (

0.02)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18% (

-0.03)

35.82% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.41% (

-0.04)

72.59% (

0.04)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

0.01)

24.99% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36% (

0.01)

59.64% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 27.83%

Lazio 45.15%

Draw 27.01%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.83%	1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.01%	0-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.15%