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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
NL

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
Napoli

Lazovic (60')
Magnani (37'), Faraoni (44'), Bonazzoli (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Politano (27'), Kvaratskhelia (43', 55')
Rui (45'), Lindstrom (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 1-3 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Napoli

The last league draw between Verona and Napoli at the Bentegodi came back in April 1988, when none other than Diego Maradona got his name on the scoresheet. While Hellas have not conceded too many goals this term, hopes of holding out for a point on Saturday are likely to be futile, as the champions should be fired up and have plenty to prove - while Simeone may enjoy returning to the site of his former successes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.67%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawNapoli
14.04% (-0.102 -0.1) 21.21% (0.278 0.28) 64.74% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 45.24% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (-1.327 -1.33)50.09% (1.32 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (-1.191 -1.19)72.06% (1.184 1.18)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.06% (-0.96400000000001 -0.96)46.93% (0.957 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.56% (-0.741 -0.74)82.44% (0.73400000000001 0.73)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)14.75% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.01% (-0.934 -0.93)42.98% (0.928 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 14.04%
    Napoli 64.73%
    Draw 21.21%
Hellas VeronaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 3.79% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 1.98%
3-1 @ 0.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 0.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 14.04%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.92% (0.363 0.36)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.21%
0-1 @ 13.25% (0.48 0.48)
0-2 @ 12.67% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 8.09% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.12% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-4 @ 3.87% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-5 @ 1.48% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 64.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Frosinone 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-0 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-1 Atalanta
Wednesday, September 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, September 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-0 Bologna
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-1 Hellas Verona
Friday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-3 Fiorentina
Sunday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Napoli
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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