Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Torino win it was 2-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
