Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
