Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.
