Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
