Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
