While Genoa's recent record in this fixture is woeful, they have had more time to rest and train, while Fiorentina are between two legs of an important European tie. As the Grifone are durable away from home and their hosts lack reliable firepower, a low-scoring stalemate is surely on the cards.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw has a probability of 24% and a win for Genoa has a probability of 19.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Genoa win it is 0-1 (6.69%).