Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
