Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
