Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 50.28%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
