All signs seem to be pointing towards a Juve win this weekend, as the combination of Atalanta's recent struggles, below-par home form and loss of their top striker makes them a weakened proposition since the sides last met.
Not only that, but the visitors now have a formidable front line of their own, which should expect to breach the hosts' defence at least once over the course of a hard-fought 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
