A number of factors are in Atalanta's favour ahead of this encounter at the Friuli, as not only do they possess the greater individual quality in the final third, but they are also completely fearless away from home.
Udinese, of course, have had a serious virus outbreak in their squad too, so the odds are against the Bianconeri salvaging even a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
