SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
63.97% ( -0.77) | 20.19% ( 0.24) | 15.84% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.81% ( -0.06) | 42.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.4% ( -0.06) | 64.59% ( 0.05) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( -0.24) | 12.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.5% ( -0.49) | 38.5% ( 0.49) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.4% ( 0.65) | 39.6% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.71% ( 0.6) | 76.28% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 63.97% | 1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.19% | 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
