Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
