Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
