SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
37.94% ( 0.04) | 24.43% ( 0.01) | 37.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.87% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.06% ( -0.05) | 42.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.66% ( -0.05) | 65.35% ( 0.06) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( -0) | 22.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.87% ( -0.01) | 56.13% ( 0.01) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.05) | 22.71% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.64% ( -0.07) | 56.37% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.94% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 36 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 67 | 37 | 30 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 62 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 48 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 45 |
| 8 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 42 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 40 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 39 |
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