SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
40.39% ( 0.05) | 24.83% ( -0.03) | 34.78% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.15) | 45.1% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.55% ( 0.14) | 67.45% ( -0.14) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.09) | 22.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.28% ( 0.14) | 55.72% ( -0.14) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 0.06) | 25.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40% ( 0.08) | 60% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stirling AlbionStirling | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 73 |
| 2 | Dumbarton | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 61 |
| 3 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | East FifeEast Fife | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
| 5 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 45 |
| 6 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 44 |
| 7 | StranraerStranraer | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 44 |
| 8 | Elgin CityElgin | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 39 |
| 10 | Albion RoversAlbion Rovers | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 36 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
