Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stranraer would win this match.
