Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
