Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.