Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 49.86%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
