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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
BL
Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford
Smith Rowe (48'), Saka (79')
Magalhaes (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Norgaard (90+3')
Jansson (81')

We said: Arsenal 1-0 Brentford

Arsenal have found it difficult to find the net in recent weeks and considering that they struggled against Brentford earlier this season, the hosts could be in for another challenging contest on Saturday. However, with the Gunners faithful cheering them on from the stands, Arteta's men should be able to secure a narrow victory and close in on the top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 72.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrentford
72.08%17.67%10.25%
Both teams to score 44.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.73%44.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.35%66.65%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.1%10.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.94%35.06%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.23%49.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.51%84.5%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 72.07%
    Brentford 10.25%
    Draw 17.67%
ArsenalDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 13.32%
1-0 @ 12.02%
3-0 @ 9.85%
2-1 @ 9.3%
3-1 @ 6.87%
4-0 @ 5.46%
4-1 @ 3.81%
5-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.4%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 72.07%
1-1 @ 8.39%
0-0 @ 5.42%
2-2 @ 3.24%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 17.67%
0-1 @ 3.79%
1-2 @ 2.93%
0-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 10.25%

Read more!
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal1393127101730
2Manchester CityMan City1392233132029
3Liverpool1384128111728
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs128222415926
5Aston Villa1281329171225
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1372431141723
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136432823522
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd127051316-321
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham136252323020
10Chelsea134452220216
11Brentford134451918116
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves124351620-415
13Crystal Palace134361318-515
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest133461621-513
15Fulham123361020-1012
16Bournemouth133371428-1412
17Luton TownLuton132381223-119
18Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1312101134-235
19Everton124261417-34
20Burnley1311111032-224
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