Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.