MX23RW : Monday, June 6 04:44:14
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Jan 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Emirates Stadium
Arsenal
0 - 2
Liverpool

Lacazette (44'), Tomiyasu (56'), Partey (87')
Partey (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jota (19', 79')
Konate (63'), Jones (82'), Minamino (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
29.41%23.98%46.62%
Both teams to score 58.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.79%43.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39%65.6%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77%63.23%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29%18.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.93%50.07%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 29.41%
    Liverpool 46.62%
    Draw 23.98%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.16%
1-0 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 4.27%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.83%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 29.41%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-1 @ 8.68%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 5.22%
0-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.35%
1-4 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 46.62%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38296399267393
2Liverpool38288294266892
3Chelsea382111676334374
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs382251169402971
5Arsenal382231361481369
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd381610125757058
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham38168146051956
8Leicester CityLeicester381410146259352
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381215114244-251
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38156173843-551
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381310154462-1849
12Crystal Palace381115125046448
13Brentford38137184856-846
14Aston Villa38136195254-245
15Southampton38913164367-2440
16Everton38116214366-2339
17Leeds UnitedLeeds38911184279-3738
RBurnley38714173453-1935
RWatford3865273477-4323
RNorwich CityNorwich3857262384-6122
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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFulham4627910106436390
3Huddersfield TownHuddersfield4623131064471782
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd4621121363451875
6Luton TownLuton462112136355875
7Middlesbrough462010165950970
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn461912155950969
9Millwall461815135345869
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
12Coventry CityCoventry461713166059164
13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
14Stoke CityStoke461711185752562
15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
16Blackpool461612185458-460
17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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