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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
 
Crusaders
2 - 1
Carrick
Lecky (59'), Kennedy (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lecky (63' og.)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
71.14%18.04%10.82%
Both teams to score 45.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.72%44.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34%66.66%
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.85%11.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.39%35.61%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.32%48.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.28%83.72%
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 71.13%
    Carrick Rangers 10.82%
    Draw 18.04%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-0 @ 13.06%
1-0 @ 11.9%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-1 @ 6.88%
4-0 @ 5.24%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 2.48%
5-0 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 71.13%
1-1 @ 8.57%
0-0 @ 5.43%
2-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.04%
0-1 @ 3.91%
1-2 @ 3.09%
0-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.82%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield18141344202443
2LarneLarne19126137132442
3CliftonvilleCliftonville19132443103341
4CrusadersCrusaders1895436191732
5GlentoranGlentoran1994636191731
6ColeraineColeraine197572430-626
7GlenavonGlenavon1972102233-1123
8Loughgall196493037-722
9Carrick RangersCarrick1963102647-2121
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon1936102639-1315
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena1932141136-2511
12Newry City AFC1932141749-3211
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