Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crusaders in this match.
