Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.