Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 20.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
