Chorley 4-3 Curzon Ashton - National League North - December 28, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

National League North | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2021 at 3pm UK

The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium

Chorley

4 - 3

Curzon Ashton

Cardwell (22', 39'), Smith (72'), Ustabasi (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Dunn (33'), Curran (46'), Peers (60')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Curzon Ashton
66.96%	19.12%	13.92%

Both teams to score 51.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.66%

41.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.26%

63.74%

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.57%

11.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.78%

36.22%

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.32%

41.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.84%

78.16%

Score Analysis

Chorley 66.95%

Curzon Ashton 13.92%

Draw 19.12%

Chorley	Draw	Curzon Ashton
2-0 @ 11.2% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.39% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 3.1% 5-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.68% 5-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 3.82% Total : 66.95%	1-1 @ 9.04% 0-0 @ 4.76% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.12%	0-1 @ 4.17% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.25% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.57% Total : 13.92%

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe	22	14	4	4	49	19	30	46
2	Tamworth	22	14	2	6	39	16	23	44
3	Chorley	22	10	7	5	38	26	12	37
4	South Shields	22	10	6	6	36	23	13	36
5	Hereford United Hereford	23	11	3	9	27	29	-2	36
6	Chester FC Chester	21	10	5	6	25	16	9	35
7	Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton	22	10	5	7	28	21	7	35
8	Brackley Town	23	9	6	8	27	21	6	33
9	Alfreton Town Alfreton	20	9	5	6	35	24	11	32
10	Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Ath	21	10	2	9	30	29	1	32
11	Spennymoor Town Spennymoor	21	9	4	8	34	35	-1	31
12	Warrington Town	22	8	6	8	30	28	2	30
13	Boston United Boston	22	8	6	8	22	23	-1	30
14	Farsley Celtic Farsley Celtic	22	7	9	6	21	25	-4	30
15	Buxton	22	8	5	9	35	27	8	29
16	Banbury United Banbury	22	8	5	9	20	33	-13	29
17	Peterborough Sports P'boro Sports	22	8	4	10	25	32	-7	28
18	Southport Southport	22	8	4	10	24	37	-13	28
19	Blyth Spartans	22	7	6	9	32	32	0	27
20	Rushall Olympic	23	6	6	11	29	36	-7	24
21	King's Lynn Town King's Lynn	23	5	8	10	25	38	-13	23
22	Gloucester City Gloucester City	22	5	5	12	22	31	-9	20
23	Darlington	21	4	7	10	18	43	-25	19
24	Bishop's Stortford Bishop's Stortford	22	4	2	16	19	46	-27	14