Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Hereford United win it was 1-0 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
