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Oct 16, 2021 at 3pm UK at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley
2 - 1
Darlington
Henley (39' og.), Blyth (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cassidy (77')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Darlington.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawDarlington
58.74%21.82%19.44%
Both teams to score 54.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22%65.78%
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55%14.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61%42.39%
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.91%
Score Analysis
    Chorley 58.73%
    Darlington 19.44%
    Draw 21.81%
ChorleyDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.09%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.77%
3-1 @ 6.42%
3-0 @ 6.3%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 3.1%
4-0 @ 3.05%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 58.73%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.22%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.31%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.44%

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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Darlington26145750351547
2Brackley Town25138431191247
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn22136341212045
4Chester FCChester251110439231643
5Fylde21133536211542
6Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath2512674540542
7Chorley24107734231137
8SouthportSouthport2410683532336
9Banbury UnitedBanbury2510693532336
10Peterborough Sports2510693332136
11Gloucester CityGloucester City26105113842-435
12Alfreton TownAlfreton238963024633
13Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster2596102427-333
14Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2471073133-231
15Hereford UnitedHereford2385102928129
16Leamington FCLeamington2551462122-129
17Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton2376102225-327
18Bradford Park AvenueBradford Park Av2476112331-827
19Boston UnitedBoston2675143644-826
20Buxton226792230-825
21Kettering TownKettering2366112137-1624
22Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2356122641-1521
23Blyth Spartans2347122236-1419
24AFC Telford UnitedTelford2427151642-2613
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