Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Darlington in this match.
