Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
