Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
