Toronto showed flashes of brilliance in their opening fixture, and we expect them to come out more determined while showing more consistency as a team.
The Red Bulls seem pretty content to wait and bide their time, picking the right moments to press, which should be enough to earn them another point on the road against a young side still learning what it takes to win as a team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Toronto win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
