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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 51.06% | 25.68% | 23.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
