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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 43.8% | 24.64% | 31.56% |
| Both teams to score 57.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
