Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for DC United in this match.
